Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Antequera		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.78	2.91	2.29
	2.76	2.86	2.83
	2.64	2.93	2.77
	2.6	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.25)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
34.2%

Draw
31.7%

Málaga
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

30.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antequera's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antequera - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Puerto E. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Fomeyem F. 4. Humanes D. 22. Ruiz F. 19. Sousa C. 10. Nunez C. 5. Marcelo A. 9. Redondo L. 7. Buron L. 17. Garcia A.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. 8. Juanpe 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R. 17. Dioni
Substitutes
11. Conejero M. 27. Enokpa D. 23. Hidalgo A. 18. Ilahude D. 8. Lanzini T. 16. Marin A. 14. Pais N. 6. Pavon A. 20. Rydstrand J. 15. Solano R. 26. Spatz L. M. 29. Topo	7. Abaida H. 26. Cordero A. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 22. Lorenzo D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 13. Pereda A. (G) 9. Zuniga L.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Antequera in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Málaga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Antequera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antequera - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTWWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Recreativo Huelva - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Málaga - Antequera	2:1
04.08.18	Antequera - Málaga	0:3

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