Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)


	Antequera		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.1
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.74	3.62	4.7
	1.74	3.62	4.7
	1.66	3.68	4.89
	1.66	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	4.58 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
54.8%

Draw
25.2%

Melilla
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

25.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Antequera - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gallego A. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 6. Pavon A. 3. Spatz L. M. 21. Socorro J. 17. Garcia A. 19. Sousa C. 14. Pais N. 7. Alba T. 9. Redondo L. 18. Ilahude D.	13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 12. Macias A. 18. Siddiki O. 4. Suarez D. 6. Hernandez P. 3. Yuste A. 7. Morillo V. 9. Jose Enrique
Substitutes
12. Fomeyem F. 23. Hidalgo A. 24. Holm A. (G) 4. Humanes D. 20. Luismi Gutierrez 16. Marin A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 11. Mukai A. 25. Ortiz C. 29. Topo	22. Alassan A. 11. Bandaogo A. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 10. Gonzalez J. 21. Mateo J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 23. Niang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sousa C. ⚽,
31', Alba T. ↓, Luismi Gutierrez ↑,
35', Loren 🟨,
44', Siddiki O. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ilahude D. ↓, Topo ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Topo ⚽,
55', Pavon A. 🟨,
58', Caro J. 🟨,
60', Hernandez P. ↓, Cotan A. ↑,
60', Jose Enrique ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
72', Pavon A. ↓, Fomeyem F. ↑,
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bandaogo A. ↑,
83', Redondo L. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Spatz L. M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Melilla is Relegated to

Recent matches Antequera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Antequera is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Antequera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ceuta - Antequera	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Antequera - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Algeciras - Antequera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Melilla - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Antequera - Melilla	1:3
02.08.16	Antequera - Melilla	2:1

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