Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte, ESPNPlay Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Antigua GFC		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	1.98
	3.81	3.42	1.89
	3.77	3.51	1.86	Watch
	3.85	3.42	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.04)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	1.89 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
24.9%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo Saprissa
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antigua GFC's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Saprissa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antigua GFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Antigua GFC - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saprissa will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moran L. (G) 2. Grijalva K. 12. Ardon J. (C) 15. Diaz A. 5. Galvez J. 19. Espinoza J. 30. de L. B. 70. Ramirez D. 9. Bradley D. 77. Flores Barrios R. D. 99. Romario	18. Alvarado E. (G) 4. Waston K. (C) 19. Bolanos R. 23. Duarte O. 21. Escobar F. 32. Gomez K. 6. Brenes J. 11. Diaz L. 17. Hernandez Y. 9. East J. 14. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
18. Avila Jr M. 4. Carbonell J. 25. Carbonell J. 29. Guerra O. 3. Lang D. 1. Linares B. (G) 7. Macareno K. 22. Navas D. (G) 20. Quinonez M. 54. Sagastume S. 16. Santis D.	13. Alfaro I. (G) 3. Arboine P. 27. Chirino R. 40. Madriz A. (G) 5. Mora J. 30. Segura U. 24. Sinclair O. 7. Valverde J. 28. Vega D. 37. Vivi Quesada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Duarte O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Ramirez D. 🟥,
56', Gomez K. 🟨,
60', Gomez K. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
60', Diaz L. ↓, Vivi Quesada G. ↑,
76', Duarte O. (Pen),
77', Bolanos R. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
77', de L. B. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
78', Rodriguez A. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
81', Bradley D. ↓, Avila Jr M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Antigua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antigua will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.09.24	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:1 ✺
18.09.24	Municipal - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.08.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWT
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.09.24	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Pérez Zeledón	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
04.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 penalties ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.09.24	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLT

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