Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Antoniano		Lugo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.25
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.24	3.07	2.26
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.28	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
29.3%

Draw
29.2%

Lugo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Antoniano - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ordonez Hermosin Miguel A. (G) 2. Lopez Caro A. 5. Pedro Melli 4. Guti 20. Martinez A. 21. Barrios D. 7. Romero Garcia J. M. 6. Chamizo Romero J. 16. Espinar L. 17. Fagundo R. 18. Chalbaud Alba S. A.	13. Tabuaco G. (G) 17. Torrado C. 5. Bernardo 6. Castrin A. 30. Lizancos A. 27. Gonzalez J. 21. Abdulai S. 10. Aranda A. 8. Aguza S. 19. Fuentes A. 23. Antonetti L.
Substitutes
10. Forjan J. 8. Hinojosa D. 1. Jaen B. (G) 24. Jarana J. 22. Lainez D. 3. Liebanas Gonzalez J. M. 9. Rivero A. 11. Rodriguez J. 12. Rodriguez R. 19. Rosado A.	11. Antonin 1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 18. Jozabed 7. Ledesma L. 12. Louis-Jean J. 14. Morgado C. 15. Narro V. 20. Ojeda T. 4. Perez G. 9. Quintana Nacho 3. Vazquez J.

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Antoniano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lugo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Marbella - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Cartagena B - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Antoniano - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	El Palo - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWTW
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Lugo - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Osasuna B - Lugo	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWL

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