Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 9 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Aparecidense |
|
Maricá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.43 |
3.8 |
6.7 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.84 |
7.23 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.87 |
6.14 |
 Watch |
 |
1.42 |
3.9 |
7.24 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.69) |
3.77 ↑
(3.25) |
6.29 ↑
(5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aparecidense
61.2% | Draw
24.3% | Maricá
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Aparecidense - Maricá Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 1, Joao Marcos ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 2, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.Aparecidense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Maricá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Aparecidense is considered a favorite.We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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