Match Info
Premier League - Round 26Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Arba Minch |
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Hadiya Hossana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.52 |
2.78 |
2.82 |
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2.53 |
2.72 |
3.04 |
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2.58 |
2.71 |
3.03 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
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2.52 |
2.71 |
2.98 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.57) |
2.7 ↓
(2.87) |
2.95 ↑
(2.86) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arba Minch
35.8% | Draw
33.5% | Hadiya Hossana
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Arba Minch have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Arficho H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 48 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Last Results with these Odds
Hadiya Hossana - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.16%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 27.11.25 | Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch | 1:1 | | 23.06.25 | Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch | 0:1 | | 04.02.25 | Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana | 3:3 | | 14.04.23 | Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch | 2:0 | | 19.10.22 | Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana | 0:0 | | 11.04.22 | Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch | 4:4 | | 01.11.21 | Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana | 1:1 |
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