Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Arba Minch |
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Ethiopian Medhin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.25 |
2.58 |
2.4 |
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 |
3.43 |
2.65 |
2.4 |
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3.42 |
2.61 |
2.43 |
 Watch |
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3.3 |
2.5 |
2.38 |
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3.34 |
2.74 |
2.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.81) |
2.62 ↓
(2.81) |
2.42 ↓
(2.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arba Minch
27.3% | Draw
34.9% | Ethiopian Medhin
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arba Minch's form might have worsened.Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-3%)Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Gezahegn W. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Erbo A. ⚽, Kassaye Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of home games. Ethiopian Medhin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | -1 | 46 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Last Results with these Odds
Arba Minch - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 08.11.25 | Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch | 0:0 | | 03.05.25 | Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:2 | | 25.09.24 | Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch | 0:0 | | 03.04.23 | Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch | 2:1 | | 05.10.22 | Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin | 3:4 |
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