Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Sheger Ketema		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.58	3.45
	2.39	2.44	3.9
	2.35	2.53	3.76	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.3
	2.3	2.83	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)	2.58 ↓ (2.72)	3.59 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
39.2%

Draw
35.4%

Arba Minch
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

33.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

33.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Seik M. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Desalegn G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Fikru B. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Sheger Ketema is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arba Minch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sheger Ketema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sheger Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sheger Ketema	38	11	17	10	34:31	3	50
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	-16	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
13.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTTT
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethio Electric	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1

Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide