Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Arbroath		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.87	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.42
	3.08	3.08	2.53
	3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.02	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.62)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	2.44 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
31.5%

Draw
30.4%

Kilmarnock
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

21.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arbroath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kilmarnock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arbroath - Kilmarnock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Arbroath is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kilmarnock is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kilmarnock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arbroath won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Cup
22.01.22	Arbroath - Darvel	3:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
15.01.22	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Ayr United - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
02.01.22	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
26.12.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTW
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
29.01.22	Kilmarnock - Inverness	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
22.01.22	Kilmarnock - Dundee United	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.22	Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Queen of the South - Kilmarnock	0:2 ✺
29.12.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
20.11.21	Kilmarnock - Arbroath	0:1
24.09.21	Arbroath - Kilmarnock	0:0

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