Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)


	Arbroath		Livingston

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.91
	3.20	3.30	1.95
	3.35	3.35	2.00	Watch
	3.92	3.55	2.01
	3.34	3.5	2.09	Watch
	3.85	3.35	1.97
	3.59	3.59	2.02	Watch
	3.45	3.40	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	2 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
26.4%

Draw
27.1%

Livingston
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Arbroath - Livingston Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Arbroath (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 22. Dewar C. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 26. Mackie S. 20. Constable S. 8. Flynn R. 12. Stewart S. 23. Bonnar J. 11. Dow R. 10. Reilly G.	28. Prior J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 21. Iseni B. 23. Kabongolo B. 24. Montgomery A. 8. Pittman S. 15. MacPherson C. 17. May S. 9. Muirhead R. (C) 25. Anderson B. 19. van Hoeven B.
Substitutes
6. Beadling T. 18. Beattie C. 19. Daly C. 7. Gold D. 15. McGill S. 14. McKenna M. 4. Paterson B. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 9. Winter A.	27. Carey G. 36. Culbert S. 20. Danso E. 22. Doherty J. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 5. McGowan R. 39. Polworth L. 7. Sinclair T. 4. Wilkie J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', MacPherson C. 🟨,
32', Watson C. 🟨,
44', MacPherson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', May S. ↓, Danso E. ↑,
46', Iseni B. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
48', Reilly G. (Penalty Awarded),
49', 1 - 0, Reilly G. ⚽,
55', Montgomery A. ↓, Wilkie J. ↑,
69', Kerr C. ↓, Doherty J. ↑,
69', van Hoeven B. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
76', Reilly G. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
76', Mackie S. ↓, Paterson B. ↑,
79', Bonnar J. ↓, McKenna M. ↑,
80', Constable S. 🟨,
86', Constable S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Livingston might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arbroath won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Arbroath won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Arbroath: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13
7	Arbroath	9	3	2	4	6:13	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Livingston - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
22.08.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ayr United - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Arbroath - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Arbroath - Montrose	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
22.08.26	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Livingston - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Livingston - Forfar Athletic	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.14	Arbroath - Livingston	0:3

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