Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Archena Sport		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.53
	4.2	3.45	1.66
	3.02	3.67	1.96
	6.25	3.68	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.52)	3.64 ↑ (3.12)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Archena Sport
19.8%

Draw
25.2%

Lorca Deportiva
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

26.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Archena Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Archena Sport's form might have worsened.

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Archena Sport than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

Archena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lorca Deportiva have a series of home games.

Lorca Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Archena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Archena Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.03.22	Racing Murcia - Archena Sport	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Archena Sport - Real Murcia B	5:0 ✺
27.02.22	Cartagena FC - Archena Sport	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Archena Sport - Minera	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	El Palmar - Archena Sport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.03.22	Lorca Deportiva - Huércal-Overa	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:4 ✺
19.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Mazarrón	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.11.21	Lorca Deportiva - Archena Sport	2:1

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