Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Fadura (Getxo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Crespo Puente F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	2.60	3.30	2.30
	3.15	3.35	2.05
	3.29	3.45	2.1
	2.71	3.49	2.41	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.07
	3.24	3.55	2.09
	3.15	3.4	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
30%

Draw
27%

Mérida AD
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Arenas Club de Getxo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oleaga H. (G) 18. Torres Manzanares R. 2. Larrauri J. 5. Zubelzu J. 20. Zabaleta E. (C) 3. Lekuna A. 16. Akogo G. 6. Garcia I. 23. Oyon A. 14. Redondo E. 21. Telletxea I.	1. Csenterics A. (G) 14. Carrillo H. 4. Gonzalez Nacho 20. Barbu 5. Sanz H. 21. Beneit R. (C) 8. Solar M. 6. Lopez J. 7. Areso J. 24. Kone 11. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
24. Arnedo A. 8. Badiola I. 25. Benitez E. (G) 17. Bujan U. 9. Cortes J. 1. Obon (G) 12. Palacin E. 11. Sanchez J. 26. Sanz A. 27. Solorzano A.	23. Almeida G. 22. Aranda A. 18. Dibrani B. 10. Doncel C. 16. Fito 26. Gil A. (G) 17. Guagua D. 9. Hallsson S. 2. Jay A. 13. Juhasz I. (G) 15. Salguero A.
Coaches
Erice J.	Beltran F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Zubelzu J. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Carrillo H. ⚽, Barbu (A),
19', 0 - 2, Kone ⚽,
25', Carrillo H. 🟨,
45+1', Garcia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Oleaga H. 🟥,
48', Zabaleta E. ↓, Obon ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Kone ⚽, Areso J. (A),
57', Beneit R. 🟨,
60', Oyon A. ↓, Palacin E. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Beneit R. ⚽, El Ftouhi S. (A),
68', Barbu ↓, Fito ↑,
68', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
72', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
73', Telletxea I. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Redondo E. 🟨,
76', Garcia I. ↓, Arnedo A. ↑,
76', Torres Manzanares R. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
76', Redondo E. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
78', Areso J. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
78', Lopez J. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
84', Kone ↓, Aranda A. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 12th).

Arenas has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mérida AD has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mérida AD may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Arenas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arenas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AD Merida	9	4	1	4	15:12	3	13
20	Arenas Getxo	9	1	2	6	7:22	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Mérida AD - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.26	Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.26	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Mérida AD - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Mérida AD - UD Logroñés	3:5 ✺
19.09.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Mérida AD - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD	2:0
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0

Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD