Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Gobela (Getxo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.6
	2.2	2.98	3.3
	2.24	3.02	3.32
	2.31	3.10	3.12	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.2	2.92	3.31
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.01)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.3 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
41.6%

Draw
30.8%

Talavera de la Reina
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arenas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gastesi O. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 23. Sustatxa A. 8. Zabala M. 10. Hidalgo A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A. 15. Diocou B.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 6. Pitu 18. Capo P. 14. Molina A. 7. Di Renzo G. 21. Montero Sergio
Substitutes
24. Boriko S. 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 12. Lartitegi J. 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 13. Pena A. (G) 17. Rodriguez J. L. 16. Verde A.	15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 9. Moreno M. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 8. Sanchez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Molina A. ⚽,
15', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
40', Sillero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
51', Alvarez P. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
51', Sustatxa A. ↓, Verde A. ↑,
60', Molina A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
62', Zabala M. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
72', Montero Sergio ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
77', Zabaleta E. ↓, Lartitegi J. ↑,
77', Hidalgo A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Lartitegi J. ⚽,
81', Boriko S. 🟨,
86', Pitu 🟨,
88', Messina F. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Talavera has had a series of home games.

Arenas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ponferradina - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Tenerife	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.01.16	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
13.09.15	Talavera de la Reina - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:3

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