Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.22	2.98	3.3
	2.41	2.94	3.36
	2.31	2.96	3.34	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.27	2.88	3.21
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
40.4%

Draw
31.4%

Talavera de la Reina
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvin (G) 25. Bastida A. 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 7. Ferreiro D. 3. Lohr L. 18. Mingo V. 15. Moreno D. 14. Safrai 22. Sanchez J. 6. Val B.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 15. Arroyo N. 18. Capo P. 2. Cuenca D. 7. Di Renzo G. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 19. Gomez V. 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 21. Montero Sergio 6. Pitu
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 11. Cuellar J. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 21. Llacer L. 2. Moya P. 12. Ochoa M. 23. Romera D.	23. Farrando M. 14. Molina A. 9. Moreno M. 16. Navarro I. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sanchez J. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez V. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
46', Arroyo N. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
47', Falcon E. 🟨,
50', Molina A. 🟨,
57', De Camargo W. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
57', Safrai ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
63', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
68', Montero Sergio ↓, Roig A. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Mingo V. ⚽,
79', Lopez A. ↓, Navarro I. ↑,
79', Pitu ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Arenteiro is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Talavera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arenteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arenteiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Tenerife - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Arenteiro - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Zamora - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches