Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ponferradina		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	5
	1.72	3.25	4.85
	1.69	3.57	5.09
	1.80	3.34	4.58	Watch
	1.74	3.16	4.8
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	4.85 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
53.5%

Draw
27.6%

Arenas Club de Getxo
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ponferradina - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez A. (G) 2. Andujar D. 3. Novoa G. 4. Moltenis B. 19. Lopez A. 14. Fernandez X. 16. Frimpong E. 5. Undabarrena E. 10. Valle B. (C) 9. Cortes J. 18. Vazquez B.	13. Pena A. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 23. Sustatxa A. 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 11. Troncho A. 8. Zabala M. 10. Hidalgo A. 15. Diocou B. 9. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
8. Aguilar Elizalde E. 30. Baeza B. 25. Barredo P. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 17. Keita A. 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 21. Moreno D. 11. Mula A. 1. Prieto A. (G) 7. Sergio Benito 15. Sousa V.	24. Boriko S. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 18. Honrado A. 12. Lartitegi J. 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 16. Verde A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Vazquez A. ⚽,
15', Valle B. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
17', 1 - 1, Fernandez X. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Alvarez P. 🟨,
61', Andujar D. 🟨,
72', Frimpong E. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
72', Cortes J. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
77', Vazquez A. ↓, Verde A. ↑,
83', Sustatxa A. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
83', Andujar D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
88', Vazquez B. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
88', Mula A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
90', Hidalgo A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
90', Zabaleta E. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Ponferradina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arenas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ponferradina - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTWW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Tenerife	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLL

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