Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP
Angola	21:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	17:00	Flow Eventos, Flow Sports
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Win Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	15:00	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	22:00	Veikkaus TV
France	21:00	DAZN France
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	21:00	Sport 2
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	17:00	Flow Eventos
Peru	15:00	America TV GO, America TV
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 1
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Flow
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter, Meridiano


	Talavera de la Reina		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	17	11	1.06	Watch
	22	11	1.06
	22.11	11.02	1.07
	22.71	12.00	1.09	Watch
	23	9.5	1.1
	27	11.3	1.1	Watch
	21	9.5	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	22.12 ↑ (16)	10.76 ↑ (7)	1.08 ↓ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
4.3%

Draw
8.7%

Real Madrid
87%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

5.8%

13.2%

81%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Talavera will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Real will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 82.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Talavera (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Talavera (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Real (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Real (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Real (votes: 11 - 84.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 23. Farrando M. 3. Roig A. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 6. Pitu 16. Navarro I. 8. Sanchez L. 7. Di Renzo G. 9. Moreno M.	13. Lunin A. (C) 35. Jimenez D. 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 20. Garcia F. 15. Guler A. 19. Ceballos D. 30. Mastantuono F. 16. Garcia G. 10. Mbappe K. 9. Endrick
Substitutes
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 18. Capo P. 14. Molina A. 5. Molina S. 21. Montero Sergio 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 22. Rodriguez F. 26. Sanchez J.	5. Bellingham J. 28. Cestero Sancho J. 26. Fran (G) 36. Martinez J. 29. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 45. Pitarch T. 11. Rodrygo 14. Tchouameni A. 40. Valdepenas V. 7. Vinicius Junior
Coaches
Nogales D.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 0 - 2, Farrando M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sanchez L. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
46', Cuenca D. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
59', Roig A. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
66', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
69', Moreno M. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
77', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
77', Endrick ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
77', Guler A. ↓, Tchouameni A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Arroyo N. ⚽, Farrando M. (A),
86', Ceballos D. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Mbappe K. ⚽, Tchouameni A. (A),
90', Bellingham J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Di Renzo G. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Zamora - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLL
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Real Madrid - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWT

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