Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Fadura (Getxo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marco M. R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:00	Footballclub


	Arenas Club de Getxo		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.98	3.30	3.20
	1.98	3.2	3.55
	2.09	3.3	3.85
	2	3.52	3.51	Watch
	2.06	2.9	3.8
	2.03	3.12	3.9
	1.99	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.44)	3.64 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
45.9%

Draw
28.8%

UD Ourense
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Obon (G) 2. Larrauri J. 22. Dufur A. 15. Arratibel B. 3. Lekuna A. 16. Akogo G. 6. Garcia I. 24. Arnedo A. (C) 21. Telletxea I. 9. Cortes J. 18. Torres Manzanares R.	1. Vizoso M. (G) 19. Pardo S. 4. Labrada J. 5. Puime L. 3. Cabrera J. 17. Dominguez X. 14. Champi (C) 22. Tejon D. 16. Bastida A. 10. Ferreiro D. 11. Baldrich S.
Substitutes
8. Badiola I. 25. Benitez E. (G) 17. Bujan U. 7. Lartitegi J. 23. Oyon A. 12. Palacin E. 11. Sanchez J. 27. Solorzano A. 20. Zabaleta E.	23. Curras R. 7. Gandarillas M. 6. Gonzalez N. 21. Irazu I. 24. Jansonas R. 13. Rielo B. (G) 8. Rivelott Curro 2. Varo
Coaches
Erice J.	Carballo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Dominguez X. 🟨,
25', Arnedo A. 🟨,
26', Tejon D. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
44', Garcia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cabrera J. ↓, Gandarillas M. ↑,
48', Lekuna A. 🟥,
54', Cortes J. ↓, Palacin E. ↑,
54', Telletxea I. ↓, Zabaleta E. ↑,
68', Champi 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Torres Manzanares R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Puime L. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
73', Labrada J. 🟨,
73', Akogo G. 🟨,
79', Ferreiro D. 🟥,
85', Pardo S. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
86', Bastida A. ↓, Varo ↑,
88', Garcia I. ↓, Badiola I. ↑,
90+4', Arnedo A. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
90+4', Torres Manzanares R. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 19th in the Relegation).

Arenas has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by UD Ourense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arenas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	3:15	-12	5
20	Arenas Getxo	9	1	2	6	7:22	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.7%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

UD Ourense - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD	0:4 ✺
12.10.26	Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLL
- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.26	Real Avilés - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	UD Ourense - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	UD Ourense - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTTL

Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Ourense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide