Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Talavera de la Reina		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.15	2.98	3.4
	2.27	3	3.42
	2.27	2.95	3.45	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.19	2.89	3.37
	2.16	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↓ (3.03)	3.39 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
41.7%

Draw
31.4%

Arenteiro
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

30%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 19. Gomez V. 6. Pitu 16. Navarro I. 14. Molina A. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M.	1. Alvin (G) 22. Sanchez J. (C) 4. Falcon E. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 11. Cuellar J. 25. Bastida A. 6. Val B. 7. Ferreiro D. 10. Chuca 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
15. Acosta L. 18. Capo P. 2. Cuenca D. 7. Di Renzo G. 20. Ferni 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 24. Nordin M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 28. Sanchez A. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 8. Sanchez L.	19. Alpha M. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 23. Kandoussi B. 16. Lasure D. 21. Lopez A. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P. 5. Perez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Val B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Val B. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Molina A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Montero Sergio ⚽,
56', Moreno D. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
56', Cuellar J. ↓, Lasure D. ↑,
58', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
69', Sanchez J. ↓, Kandoussi B. ↑,
75', Kandoussi B. 🟨,
77', Gomez V. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
77', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
83', Molina A. ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
83', Navarro I. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
87', Montero Sergio ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Talavera is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arenteiro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Talavera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Talavera de la Reina - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.94%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.26	Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra	0:4 ✺
24.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
30.01.26	Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arenteiro - Lugo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0

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