Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Ferrol		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.75	3.15	4.75
	1.77	3.22	5.08
	1.79	3.2	5.09	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.75
	1.73	3.15	4.9
	1.69	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	4.9 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferrol
52.4%

Draw
29%

Arenteiro
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

27.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Ferrol - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 12. Chema 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 7. Alvaro J. 8. Gorostidi A. 5. Noriega J. 10. Pascu 20. Gimenez A. (C) 9. Escobar A.	1. Alvin (G) 22. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Lohr L. 4. Falcon E. 21. Llacer L. 11. Cuellar J. 25. Bastida A. 6. Val B. 15. Moreno D. 14. Safrai 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 18. Concha D. 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 22. Mardones A. 23. Pena A. 3. Pujol E. 14. Tejera S.	19. Alpha M. 10. Chuca 7. Ferreiro D. 13. Garcia D. (G) 44. Gimenez F. 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 2. Moya P. 5. Perez G. 24. Richarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Sanchez J. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽,
15', 🟨,
31', Moreno D. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽,
45+4', Gimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Gimenez A. ↓, Tejera S. ↑,
60', Alvaro J. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
68', Zalaya A. 🟨,
76', Escobar A. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
80', Cuellar J. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
89', Noriega J. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
89', Pascu ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ferrol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arenteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ferrol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Ponferradina - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pontevedra - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Avilés - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arenteiro - Lugo	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.11.25	Arenteiro - Ferrol	0:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Arenteiro - Ferrol	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.19	Ferrol - Arenteiro	4:1

Upcoming Matches