Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aretxabaleta		Alavés C

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.2	2.3
	2.83	3.15	2.41
	2.79	3.21	2.4
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.83	3.06	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	2.38 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aretxabaleta
32.5%

Draw
29.3%

Alavés C
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Aretxabaleta - Alavés C Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	UD Aretxabaleta	8	4	2	2	10:7	3	14
8	Alaves C	8	3	3	2	17:10	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Aretxabaleta	5:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aretxabaleta - Leioa	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Eibar C - Aretxabaleta	4:2 ✺
01.02.26	Aretxabaleta - Añorga	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Durango - Aretxabaleta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWT
- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Alavés C - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santurtzi - Alavés C	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Alavés C - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pasaia - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.03.25	Aretxabaleta - Alavés C	0:2
10.11.24	Alavés C - Aretxabaleta	1:1

Aretxabaleta - Alavés C