Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.35
	1.99	3.4	3.87
	2.09	3.32	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2	3.46	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
45.7%

Draw
27.9%

Carpi
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Livorno - Carpi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Livorno will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carpi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 5. Camporese M. 54. Falasco N. 14. Biondi K. 28. Hamlili Z. 44. Bonassi L. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 11. Malagrida L.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 6. Panelli T. 33. Pitti E. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 77. Gaddini M. 5. Figoli M. 80. Pietra N. 29. Rosetti M. 10. Stanzani L.
Substitutes
49. Baldi L. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 13. Di Carmine S. 2. Gentile D. 15. Ghezzi S. 20. Haveri K. 95. Marchesi F. 23. Marinari J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 1. Tani F. (G) 29. Tosto L. 19. Vayrynen T.	8. Amayah P. 44. Benvenuto M. 7. Cecotti T. 9. Gerbi E. 27. Giva N. 17. Lombardi L. 12. Pasin L. 3. Rigo M. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 2. Verza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Stanzani L. ⚽,
19', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
23', 🟨,
23', Rossini M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Malagrida L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Gaddini M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
59', Puletto F. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
60', Rossini M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
68', Lombardi L. 🟨,
69', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
69', Peralta D. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Dionisi F. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Sall A. ⚽,
83', Biondi K. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
89', Pitti E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Livorno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15:14	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Carpi - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Livorno - Perugia	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Sambenedettese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Livorno - Pineto	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Livorno - Pianese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTWL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Carpi - Bra	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Perugia - Carpi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0
Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Livorno - Carpi	0:1
Italian Serie B
05.05.19	Livorno - Carpi	1:0
26.12.18	Carpi - Livorno	1:4
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Carpi - Livorno	4:0
16.08.15	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ET
Italian Serie B
18.01.15	Carpi - Livorno	1:2

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