The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frosinone 67.4%
Draw 19%
Padova 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
20.7%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
20.1%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Frosinone - Padova Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Frosinone (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Frosinone (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Frosinone (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 16. Cichella M. 10. Gelli F. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 4. Belli F. 55. Villa L. 5. Perrotta M. (C) 18. Ghiglione P. 23. Di Maggio L. 44. Harder J. 8. Fusi P. 72. Faedo C. 15. Lasagna K. 77. Di Mariano F.
Substitutes
99. Barcella K. 2. Cittadini G. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
20. Bortolussi M. 92. Buonaiuto C. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 14. Fortin M. (G) 86. Giunti G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 32. Sgarbi F. 7. Varas K.
Coaches
Alvini M.
Breda R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Raimondo A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Gelli F. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Belli F. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
46', Harder J. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
58', Ghiglione P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
58', Fusi P. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
62', Crisetig L. 🟨,
69', Gelli F. 🟨,
71', Di Mariano F. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
74', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
74', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
80', Oyono A. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
87', Gelli F. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
88', Varas K. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
Frosinone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Padova is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Padova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Frosinone is the team to beat.
There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G.
(Injury)
Koutsoupias I.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Harder J.
(Injury)
Pastina C.
(Red Card)
Sgarbi F.
(Injury)
Silva J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Frosinone: Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
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Palmisani L. (G) 
Oyono A. 
Ghedjemis F. 
Kvernadze G. 
Lolic E. (G) 
Mouquet L. (G) 
Varas K. 
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