The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 34.9%
Draw 31.7%
Vicenza Virtus 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
30.7%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.1%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Arezzo - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 72. Cortesi M. 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Eklu S. M. 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 6. Renzi A. 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.
16. Gagno R. (G) 28. Caferri L. 4. Carraro M. 32. Costa F. 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 9. Morra C. 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 27. Sandon T. 29. Zonta L.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 24. Chierico L. 19. Chiosa M. 71. Cianci P. 90. Concetti M. 4. Coppolaro M. 26. De Col F. 12. Galli A. (G) 78. Iaccarino G. 17. Ionita A. 91. Ravasio M. 37. Righetti S. 21. Tavernelli C. 22. Venturi G. (G)
24. Alessio F. 1. Basso M. (G) 23. Benassai F. 10. Capello A. 5. Cappelletti D. 8. Cavion M. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 11. Stuckler D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 33. Vescovi M. 99. Vitale M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Morra C. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Morra C. ⚽,
45', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Viviani M. ↓, Tavernelli C. ↑,
58', Eklu S. M. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
66', Rada A. ↓, Vitale M. ↑,
66', Rauti N. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
66', Morra C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Stuckler D. ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Gigli N. ⚽,
73', Caferri L. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
73', Zonta L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
75', Cortesi M. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
76', 1 - 4, Stuckler D. ⚽,
85', Trombini L. ↓, Galli A. ↑,
85', Gilli M. ↓, Casarosa M. ↑,
88', Leverbe M. 🟨,
89', 2 - 4, Di Chiara G. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 5, Casarosa M. (Own goal),
Preview
Arezzo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vicenza Virtus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.