Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play


	Argentino de Merlo		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.8	3.75
	2.15	2.85	3.75	Watch
	2.21	2.76	4.18
	1.99	2.73	4.55	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.75
	1.89	3.22	4.2
	1.95	2.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.85)	2.87 ↓ (3.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Merlo
45.2%

Draw
32.1%

Cañuelas
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Cañuelas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentino de Merlo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Tomasini G. 🟥,
45+1', 0 - 1, Barquett A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, Barquett A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentino de Merlo won 0.

Argentino de Merlo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cañuelas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Argentino de Merlo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Argentino de Merlo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentino de Merlo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
21.07.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo	4:0 ✺
09.07.24	Sacachispas - Argentino de Merlo	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
29.06.24	Acassuso - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWTW
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
20.07.24	Cañuelas - Liniers	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Comunicaciones - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cañuelas - Fénix	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.03.24	Cañuelas - Argentino de Merlo	1:0
26.08.23	Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas	1:2
22.04.23	Cañuelas - Argentino de Merlo	2:1
Argentinian Primera C
27.12.20	Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas	1:2
13.10.19	Cañuelas - Argentino de Merlo	2:1
24.03.17	Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas	3:2
09.09.16	Cañuelas - Argentino de Merlo	4:1

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