The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 49.5%
Draw 27.8%
Deportivo Merlo 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
30.7%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
31.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Merlo's performance.
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Merlo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oviedo G. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 11. Gomez M. 6. Lopez V. 3. Maceri B. 4. Marcial C. 14. Rodriguez J. 5. Romero L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Scisci G. 8. Ursino D.
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 3. Alfieri L. 5. Benitez F. 2. Figueredo L. 7. Gugenheim C. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 10. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 4. Vallejo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Cohen E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Ursino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
62', Maguicha D. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
62', Benitez F. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
62', Gugenheim C. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
63', 🟨,
76', Aguerre F. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
77', 🟨,
77', Salvador A. 🟨,
78', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
78', Salvador A. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
88', Sandoval I. 🟨,
90+4', Scisci G. ↓, Maceri B. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 1.
Argentino de Merlo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Deportivo Merlo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Argentino de Merlo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:16 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Argentino de Merlo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Argentina
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Oviedo G. (G) 
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