The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 29.3%
Draw 33.9%
Deportivo Español 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
30.3%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
32.3%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Español Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Deportivo Español will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Play Offs: Final)).
Recent matches Argentino de Merlo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportivo Español is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Argentino de Merlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Argentino de Merlo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Argentino de Merlo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.