The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 44.3%
Draw 32.4%
Gimnasia La Plata 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
29.4%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
32.3%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
55.6%
0%
Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 16. Ricca F. 26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 21. Sanchez A. 51. Hernandes R. 3. Sporle A. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 20. Vazquez F. 37. Gutierrez L.
23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 5. Miramon I. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 10. Schelotto N. 29. Auzmendi A. 32. Torres M.
Substitutes
59. Castro T. 28. Daniele M. (G) 45. Falcon A. 22. Fernandez N. 11. Gonzalez F. 5. Longo S. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 15. Tulian R. 30. Zelarayan G.
33. Aguiar P. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 28. Bolzan C. 19. Castro L. 35. Cortazzo J. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 18. Seoane M. 26. Torres F. 43. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Zielinski R.
Pereyra A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Hernandes R. 🟨,
25', Ricca F. 🟥,
41', 0 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sporle A. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
46', Vazquez F. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
55', Fernandez N. 🟨,
69', Hernandes R. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
69', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
69', Schelotto N. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
78', Gutierrez L. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
78', German Conti ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
78', Torres M. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
84', Cortazzo J. 🟨,
87', Passerini L. 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez N. ↓, Seoane M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3.
In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimnasia La Plata is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Belgrano is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S.
(Inactive)
Morales L.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Errecalde G.
(Inactive)
Giampaoli R.
(Yellow Cards)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
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Cardozo T. (G) 
Maldonado A. 
Benitez Cabrera A. J. 
Zelarayan L. (C) 
Perez J. 
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