Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)


	Argentinos Juniors		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	11	Watch
	1.31	5	10
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.32	5.13	11
	1.31	5.13	10.25
	1.25	4.75	11	Watch
	1.31	5	9.85	Watch
	1.3	4.9	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	5.02 ↑ (4.1)	10.34 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
72.2%

Draw
18.7%

Racing Montevideo
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

21.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Argentinos Juniors - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 6. Vega R. 13. Palacio T. 19. Galvan J. 8. Rodriguez A. (C) 17. Moyano F. 21. Oroz N. 22. Lescano A. 9. Romero M. 10. Veron G. 32. Gondou L.	1. Bacchia R. (G) 2. Magallanes H. 4. Cotugno G. 5. Monzon L. 6. Quinonez O. 7. Varela J. (C) 14. De Los Santos E. 21. Rodriguez L. 9. Nandin D. 20. Urretaviscaya J. 27. Veron T.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez F. 11. Batallini D. 24. Chaves M. 14. Coronel K. 36. Gamarra A. 26. Herrera J. 7. Montiel S. 28. Perello M. 20. Prieto S. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 29. Viveros E.	19. Airala C. 18. Alaniz A. 3. Bueno G. 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 17. Ferreira M. 29. Hernandez A. 77. Mederos S. 52. Mendez E. 25. Odriozola R. (G) 34. Pereira A. 10. Rivero J. 23. Sosa Sanchez N.
Coaches
Guede P.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Romero M. 🟨,
26', Varela J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Veron T. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Veron T. ⚽,
53', 0 - 3, Urretaviscaya J. ⚽,
64', Veron G. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
64', Quinonez O. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
64', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
65', Lescano A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
74', Galvan J. 🟨,
75', Varela J. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
76', Nandin D. ↓, Sosa Sanchez N. ↑,
77', Veron T. 🟨,
78', Moyano F. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
78', Palacio T. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
84', Veron T. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,

Preview

Argentinos Juniors in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Racing is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Argentinos Juniors to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.04.24	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.24	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWWW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.24	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Progreso - Racing Montevideo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL

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