Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Corinthians		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13	Watch
	1.27	5.25	11.5
	1.28	5	11	Watch
	1.24	5.92	16
	1.22	5.92	13.93
	1.25	5	11	Watch
	1.27	5.35	11	Watch
	1.28	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)	5.37 ↑ (4.2)	12.18 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Corinthians
74.8%

Draw
17.5%

Nacional Asuncion
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

20.2%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Corinthians - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cassio (C) 23. Fagner 3. Torres F. 13. Gustavo Henrique 46. Hugo 14. Raniele 5. Fausto Vera 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Garro R. 36. Wesley 11. Angel Romero	1. Silva A. (G) 17. Blasi B. 14. Nunez C. (C) 4. Alfaro J. L. 25. Rivas L. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 21. Blas Caceres 6. Alfaro J. 11. Caballero G. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 13. Meza L.
Substitutes
27. Breno Bidon 25. Caca 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 77. Coronado I. 19. Gustavo Mosquito 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheuzinho 18. Paulinho 16. Pedro Henrique 20. Pedro Raul 34. Raul Gustavo	38. Arevalo R. 43. Canete Torres A. D. 40. Doldan J. 2. Gimenez M. 20. Gomez A. 28. Gonzalez A. 16. Gonzalez M. 32. Morel F. 7. Orzusa E. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Toni Oliveira	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Angel Romero ⚽, Fausto Vera (A),
45', Fagner 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Arevalo R. ↑,
46', Caballero G. 🟨,
50', Meza L. 🟨,
60', Arevalo R. 🟥,
63', Fagner ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
63', Blas Caceres ↓, Morel F. ↑,
63', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
73', 3 - 0, Angel Romero ⚽, Yuri Alberto (A),
77', Fausto Vera ↓, Paulinho ↑,
83', Wesley ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
84', Garro R. ↓, Coronado I. ↑,
84', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
84', Alfaro J. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
85', Paulinho 🟨,
87', Caballero G. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Coronado I. (A),

Preview

Corinthians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional Asuncion is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Corinthians is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Corinthians to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.24	Corinthians - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.24	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.03.24	Água Santa - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Corinthians - Santo André	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWTW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.03.24	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.24	Palestino - Nacional Asuncion	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLW

Upcoming Matches