Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DSports 1, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	3.3	3.11	2.35	Watch
	3.5	3	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.62)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	2.31 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
28.6%

Draw
30.7%

Defensa y Justicia
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

29.9%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cerro Largo (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Santilli G. (G) 17. Garcia A. 5. Di Pippa A. 32. Gianoli M. 6. Bonifazi F. 8. Mir M. 15. Assis S. 13. Peraza F. 22. Bertocchi N. 7. Contrera J. 10. Otormin L.	25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 30. Balanta K. 15. Perez D. 5. Gutierrez K. 35. Schamine B. 26. Gonzalez F. 8. Perez C. 11. Togni G. 9. Miritello J. B.
Substitutes
29. Affonso M. 11. Anasco M. 19. Brasil M. 14. Correa L. 18. Gonzalez C. 30. Hernandez B. 27. Medina F. 2. Parada F. 25. Perez A. 26. Perez Tica J. 1. Pintado F. (G) 9. Rossi F.	34. Delgado R. 29. Gonzalez G. 20. Gonzalez L. 24. Gonzalez M. 16. Larralde V. 1. Masuero F. (G) 10. Molinas A. 7. Osorio A. 33. Palavecino N. 37. Ramirez M. 38. Rubio T. 3. Soto A.
Coaches
Nunez D.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Perez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bertocchi N. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
46', Togni G. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
66', Schamine B. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
67', Peraza F. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
67', Otormin L. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
67', Mir M. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
80', Contrera J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
82', Perez A. 🟨,
85', Miritello J. B. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
86', Gonzalez F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
86', Perez D. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
88', Cannavo E. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
17.03.25	Cerro Largo - Cerro	0:0 ✺
10.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTTTL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWL

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