Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.91	Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.02
	3.94	3.29	2.07
	3.78	3.24	2.04	Watch
	3.7	3	2.05
	3.78	3.17	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 (3.77)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
24.6%

Draw
29.6%

Racing Montevideo
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 16. Fracchia M. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Marcel S. 10. Pandiani A. 18. Daguerre D. 9. Correa T.	12. Varese F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 3. Brazionis 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 29. Gonzalez F. 5. Bosca J. 8. Cairus F. 39. Vazquez A. 18. Habib T. 33. Da Silva S.
Substitutes
11. Anasco M. 13. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 25. Jourdan E. 1. Moreno J. (G) 3. Piegas A. 21. Pou J. 28. Ramos N. 19. Sellecchia F. 7. Viera G.	40. Atum A. 10. Da Silva E. 14. De Los Santos E. 19. Dudok R. 1. Machado F. (G) 37. Oyarzo Y. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 77. Tomatis B. 7. Varela J.
Coaches
Nunez D.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Assis S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Cotugno G. ⚽,
45+3', Habib T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Pandiani A. ↓, Pou J. ↑,
49', Garcia M. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
49', Daguerre D. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
56', Habib T. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
57', Gonzalez F. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
59', Bosca J. 🟨,
64', Pou J. 🟨,
66', Bosca J. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
77', Ferreira M. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
77', Cairus F. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
77', Hernandez A. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
89', Vazquez A. 🟨,
90+3', Marcel S. ↓, Barone B. ↑,
90+6', Correa L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 0.

In recent matches, Cerro Largo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Racing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cerro Largo - Cerro	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	Cerro Largo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.25	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:2
28.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1
05.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
29.03.24	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:2
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.11.23	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0
15.07.23	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:0

Upcoming Matches