Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Argentinos Juniors		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	6.1
	1.56	3.75	6.41
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.55	3.98	6.2
	1.56	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)	6.06 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
59.7%

Draw
25%

San Martín de San Juan
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Argentinos Juniors - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin A. (G) 29. Di Cesare M. 2. Torren M. (C) 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 8. Rodriguez A. 17. Moyano F. 16. Cabral R. 22. Lescano A. 32. Gondou L. 9. Avalos G.	1. Monllor M. (G) 8. Llano Massa M. T. 4. Aguirre A. 6. Sienra A. 2. Villegas J. C. 3. Alvarez L. 7. Blanco J. 5. Pelaitay N. (C) 10. Gonzalez S. 11. Regalado L. 9. Donato M.
Substitutes
1. Acosta M. (G) 21. Dominguez F. 19. Galvan J. 13. Gonzalez F. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 30. Minissale P. 18. Montiel S. 11. Nuss T. 5. Redondo Solari F. 4. Vega R. 10. Veron G.	18. Arturia M. 12. Bonansea F. (G) 16. Bontempo L. 21. Franco N. 14. Galvan M. 19. Luduena C. 13. Masuero A. 20. Molina A. 15. Tejada N. 17. Vega A.
Coaches
Milito G.	Monasterio C.

Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 3.

Argentinos Juniors is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Martín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.08.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 ✺
20.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Fluminense - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.23	Temperley - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - All Boys	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Martín de San Juan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.19	San Martín de San Juan - Argentinos Juniors	2:3
28.01.18	Argentinos Juniors - San Martín de San Juan	2:0
03.04.16	San Martín de San Juan - Argentinos Juniors	2:0
08.03.15	San Martín de San Juan - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.11.14	Argentinos Juniors - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
23.09.14	San Martín de San Juan - Argentinos Juniors	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.13	San Martín de San Juan - Argentinos Juniors	2:1

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