Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.1	11	Watch
	1.35	4.35	10.5	Watch
	1.38	4.6	9.96
	1.37	4.51	9.9	Watch
	1.36	4	9
	1.42	4.17	10.7	Watch
	1.38	4.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	4.28 ↑ (3.87)	10.15 ↑ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
68.7%

Draw
22%

Sarmiento de Junín
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Argentinos Juniors (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 2. Ramirez T. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 7. Giaccone L. 27. Molina T. 47. Porcel D.	1. Burrai J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 26. Arismendi Y. 8. Salle S. 15. Zabala C. 5. Garcia M. 10. Renteria J. 9. Diego Churin 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
26. Bravo C. 14. Coronel K. 18. Fernandez L. 4. Godoy E. 8. Gomez L. 32. Infantino G. 48. Jainikoski F. 33. Perez E. 6. Riquelme R. D. 34. Ryouga K. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 29. Viveros E.	6. Arturia G. 12. Ayala T. (G) 19. Contrera J. 16. Delgado U. 11. Gomez J. 32. Gonzalez A. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M. 23. Monza D. (G) 34. Seyral A. 3. Suarez L. 25. Villalba C.
Coaches
Diez N.	Sava F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
27', Ramirez T. 🟨,
33', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
39', Alvarez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cabrera J. M. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
52', Renteria J. 🟨,
57', Marabel J. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
57', Renteria J. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
60', Insaurralde J. 🟥,
62', Marquez B. 🟨,
65', Prieto S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
73', Oroz N. ↓, Ryouga K. ↑,
75', Zabala C. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
84', Diego Churin ↓, Delgado U. ↑,
84', Alvarez F. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
90+4', Villalba C. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 0, Molina T. ⚽, Lozano L. (A),
90+9', Molina T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1.

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.11.25	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.11.25	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Platense - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.24	Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
08.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	2:0
11.06.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.22	Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.12.21	Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
30.05.15	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	0:0

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