Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Aris		Gent

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	3.6	3.7	1.78
	4.3	4	1.57
	4.68	3.79	1.57
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	5.1	4.4	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.46)	3.95 ↑ (3.74)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
20.1%

Draw
23%

Gent
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.1%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.3%	7.5%	81.1%

Aris - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gent have a series of guest games.

Gent will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
01.07.22	Hamburger SV - Aris	4:3 ✺
Greek Super League
17.05.22	PAS Giannina - Aris	0:3 ✺
14.05.22	Aris - AEK Athens	3:2 ✺
11.05.22	PAOK - Aris	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWL
- AA Gent
Club Friendly
01.07.22	Hajduk Split - Gent	0:3 ✺
24.06.22	Westerlo - Gent	6:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.05.22	Gent - Charleroi	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Genk - Gent	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.19	Aris - Gent	0:3

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