Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Arka Gdynia		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.8	Watch
	2.68	3	2.68	Watch
	2.73	3.1	2.85
	2.69	3.33	2.59	Watch
	2.79	2.98	2.79	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	2.71 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
34.7%

Draw
30.4%

Piast Gliwice
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.4%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 4. Zator D. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. (C) 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 35. Jakubczyk K. 11. Kocyla D. 31. Rusyn N. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 37. Kerk S.	26. Plach F. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 5. Juande 36. Lewicki J. 77. Jirka E. 10. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 11. Sanca L. 17. Boisgard Q. 63. Barkovskiy G.
Substitutes
33. Abramowicz D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 94. Gojny D. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 22. Percan 6. Perea L. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 8. Sidibe A. 7. Sobczak S. 14. Vitalucci H.	6. Chrapek M. 9. Dalmau A. 7. Felix J. 31. Lesniak O. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 33. Szymanski K. (G) 80. Vallejo H.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Molder M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Kocyla D. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Jakubczyk K. ⚽, Hermoso K. (A),
28', Lewicki J. 🟨,
43', Twumasi E. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Jirka E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lewicki J. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
58', Kerk S. 🟨,
61', Boisgard Q. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
70', Rusyn N. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
72', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
73', Sanca L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
79', Kerk S. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
79', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
80', Kocyla D. ↓, Gojny D. ↑,
85', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
90+2', Juande 🟨,
90+2', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
90+4', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
90+4', Dziczek P. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Piast: Drapinski I. (Yellow Cards) Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWT
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.25	Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
30.10.24	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	1:3 ET
Club Friendly
06.07.23	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	2:3
Polish Cup
07.04.21	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	1:0 penalties
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.03.20	Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia	1:0
29.09.19	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	0:0
22.02.19	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	1:2
15.09.18	Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia	1:0

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