The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 64.9%
Draw 22.6%
Warta Poznań 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
21.9%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.2%
20.9%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Arka (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Arka Gdynia will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arka Gdynia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 11. Kocyla D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Sidibe A. 16. Ratajczyk A. 99. Majchrzak J.
1. Kajzer D. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 44. Markov I. 3. Kielb J. (C) 15. Kopczynski M. 5. Tkachuk Y. 26. Michalski K. 11. Drzazga K. 32. Rajsel N. 18. Feliks M.
Substitutes
13. Azatsky O. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 35. Jakubczyk K. 27. Oliveira J. 19. Rzuchowski M. 21. Skora K. 7. Sobczak S. 32. Stolc P. 14. Vitalucci H.
9. Firlej M. 7. Gaska D. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 12. Oleniak B. (G) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 65. Shibata S. 77. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 10. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Szwarga D.
Tarasiewicz R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. (Pen),
44', 2 - 0, Hermoso K. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Gaprindashvili T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rajsel N. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
51', Hermoso K. 🟨,
52', Feliks M. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
52', Drzazga K. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
52', Kopczynski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
64', Kocyla D. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
64', Majchrzak J. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
74', Ratajczyk A. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
83', Kocaba F. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
83', Sidibe A. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
Arka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Warta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Arka is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Arka to win the game is with odds 1.43.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0