The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 51.6%
Draw 24.7%
Hertha Berlin 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
22.1%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
21.5%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.1%
11.5%
15.4%
Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 56.1% – 90.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Hertha (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 5. Bauer M. 19. Grosser M. 17. Sicker A. 21. Russo S. 8. Schreck S. 38. Worl M. 6. Corboz M. (C) 14. Momuluh T. 11. Grodowski J.
1. Ernst T. (G) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 34. Berner J. 23. Eichhorn K. 41. Klemens P. 10. Cuisance M. 30. Seguin P. 11. Reese F. (C) 17. Gronning S.
Substitutes
3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 29. Handwerker T. 31. Knoche R. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Rochelt J. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 7. Telalovic S. 28. Uldrikis R.
6. Demme D. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 24. Gouram S. 26. Hildebrandt N. 5. Jensen L. 14. Krattenmacher M. 37. Leistner T. 8. Sessa K.
Coaches
Kniat M.
Leitl S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gechter L. ⚽, Eitschberger J. (A),
2nd Half (6 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Grodowski J. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Grodowski J. ⚽, Sicker A. (A),
60', Grodowski J. 🟨,
62', Berner J. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
62', Seguin P. ↓, Demme D. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Momuluh T. ⚽, Corboz M. (A),
67', Bauer M. 🟨,
72', Grodowski J. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Russo S. ⚽,
79', Momuluh T. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
80', Worl M. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
80', Lannert C. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
83', Eichhorn K. ↓, Gouram S. ↑,
83', Reese F. ↓, Hildebrandt N. ↑,
86', Russo S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
87', Klemens P. ↓, Leistner T. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 1, Telalovic S. ⚽, Rochelt J. (A),
90+3', Telalovic S. 🟨,
90+6', 6 - 1, Uldrikis R. ⚽, Rochelt J. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1.
Recent performances by Arminia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hertha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arminia is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).