Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Arminia Bielefeld		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	2	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.55	3.45	2.07
	3.45	3.55	2.04
	3.66	3.65	2.1
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.62	3.58	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	3.55 ↑ (3.55)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
26.9%

Draw
27%

Hoffenheim
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

20.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arminia Bielefeld that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.6%	30.4%	50%

Arminia Bielefeld - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 9 - 19.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 23 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 35.6% – 64.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (15.16%), has project points - 33, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 9 (8.21%), has project points - 45, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hoffenheim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
12.09.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Bayreuth - Arminia Bielefeld	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTW
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
11.09.21	Hoffenheim - Mainz	0:2 ✺
27.08.21	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
22.08.21	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
09.08.21	Viktoria Köln - Hoffenheim	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.05.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hoffenheim	1:1
16.01.21	Hoffenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0

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