Match Info
Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Covilhã |
|
Chaves |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.25 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.45 |
|
 |
3.05 |
2.85 |
2.38 |
|
 |
3 |
2.95 |
2.4 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.1 |
2.51 |
|
 |
3 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.94 |
3.13 |
2.41 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.5) |
2.99 ↑
(2.95) |
2.41 ↓
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Covilhã
30.7% | Draw
31% | Chaves
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covilhã's form might have worsened.Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Covilhã - Chaves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12). Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Chaves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Chaves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Covilhã have a series of guest games. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-16. Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 11.04.21 | Chaves - Covilhã | 2:0 | | 07.12.20 | Covilhã - Chaves | 1:2 | | 01.03.20 | Covilhã - Chaves | 0:2 | | 21.09.19 | Chaves - Covilhã | 2:3 | | 17.01.16 | Chaves - Covilhã | 1:0 | | 16.08.15 | Covilhã - Chaves | 0:1 | | 22.02.15 | Chaves - Covilhã | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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