Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)


	Arsenal		Juventus

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5	8
	1.29	5.4	8
	1.26	4.8	7.15
	1.22	5.25	9.5
	1.24	6.2	9.8	Watch
	1.29	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (2.02)	5.33 ↑ (3.6)	8.24 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
71.7%

Draw
17.2%

Juventus
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal's performance.

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	2.9%	6.7%

Arsenal - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (94 of 104 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.71% – 96.05%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arsenal to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
Club Friendly
13.12.22	Arsenal - Milan	2:1 ✺
08.12.22	Arsenal - Lyon	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.11.22	Chelsea - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
13.11.22	Juventus - Lazio	3:0 ✺
10.11.22	Verona - Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Juventus - Inter Milan	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Juventus - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.10.22	Lecce - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

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