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Current Win Probability
Juventus 17.4%
Draw 22.2%
Paris Saint-Germain 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
22.3%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
21.3%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
3.4%
89.5%
Juventus - Paris Saint Germain Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(239 of 267 users predict this - 89.51%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.83% – 93.19%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Juventus has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a good chance of 3rd (77%), has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.
PSG has currently - 11, has a good chance of 1st (67%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (65%), has a chance of semis (38%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
This event has big quality79, small importance30, match rating54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Juventus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
PSG is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Juventus have a series of guest games.
Recently PSG have a series of home games.
In this match PSG is a favorite.
There will not play in Juventus: Ake M.
(Broken Leg)
Bremer
(Injury)
Chiesa F.
(Knee Injury)
Danilo
(Yellow Cards)
De Sciglio M.
(Thigh Injury)
Di Maria A.
(Muscle Injury)
Iling S.
(Ankle Injury)
Kaio Jorge
(Knee Injury)
McKennie W.
(Muscle Injury)
Paredes L.
(Muscle Injury)
Peeters D.
(Muscle Injury)
Pogba P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Navas K.
(Back Injury)
Neymar
(Yellow Cards)
Pembele T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Juventus: Vlahovic D.
(Groin Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.