Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC, Peacock
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.29
	10	5.5	1.29
	11.5	6.1	1.26
	11.97	6.15	1.27
	11.17	5.87	1.3	Watch
	10	5	1.25
	12.4	6.1	1.3	Watch
	11	5.5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.13 ↑ (9.17)	5.72 ↑ (5.12)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
8.6%

Draw
16.7%

Arsenal
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

18.4%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

17.5%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	7.1%	89.4%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Arsenal (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5, 2nd Half - Wolverhampton (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Wolverhampton (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (76 of 84 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 96.76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 4.9%). Arsenal (votes: 38 - 92.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 47. Gomes A. 7. Andre 3. Bueno H. 36. Mane M. 27. Bellegarde J. 9. Armstrong A.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 7. Saka B. (C) 11. Martinelli G. 14. Gyökeres V.
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 8. Joao Gomes 31. Johnstone S. (G) 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L. 6. Wolfe D. M.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 33. Calafiori R. 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C. 19. Trossard L. 4. White B.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Saka B. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
22', Gomes A. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
45+4', Bueno S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Hincapie P. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
61', 1 - 2, Bueno H. ⚽, Bueno S. (A),
65', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
65', Madueke N. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
70', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
71', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
73', Saka B. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
84', Bellegarde J. ↓, Edozie T. ↑,
90+3', Trossard L. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Calafiori R. (Own goal),
90+9', Gabriel Jesus 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0.

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Havertz K. (Muscle Injury) Merino M. (Leg Injury) Odegaard M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 60.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 71.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLL
- Arsenal FC
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Arsenal - Wigan Athletic	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.02.26	Brentford - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
31.01.26	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
25.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:1
17.08.24	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
20.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:2
02.12.23	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
28.05.23	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	5:0
12.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:2

Upcoming Matches