Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	02:00	Toffee Live
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	15:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	04:00	Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC, Peacock
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	FPT Play


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.29
	10	5.5	1.29
	11.5	6.1	1.26
	11.97	6.15	1.27
	11.17	5.87	1.3	Watch
	10	5	1.25
	12.4	6.1	1.3	Watch
	11	5.5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.13 ↑ (9.17)	5.72 ↑ (5.12)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
8.6%

Draw
16.7%

Arsenal
74.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.3%

18.4%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.9%

15.9%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	7.1%	89.4%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Arsenal (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5, 2nd Half - Wolverhampton (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Wolverhampton (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (76 of 84 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 96.76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 4.9%). Arsenal (votes: 38 - 92.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 47. Gomes A. 7. Andre 3. Bueno H. 36. Mane M. 27. Bellegarde J. 9. Armstrong A.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 7. Saka B. (C) 11. Martinelli G. 14. Gyökeres V.
Substitutes
14. Arokodare T. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 8. Joao Gomes 31. Johnstone S. (G) 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L. 6. Wolfe D. M.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 33. Calafiori R. 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C. 19. Trossard L. 4. White B.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Saka B. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
22', Gomes A. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
45+4', Bueno S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Hincapie P. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
61', 1 - 2, Bueno H. ⚽, Bueno S. (A),
65', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
65', Madueke N. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
70', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
71', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
73', Saka B. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
84', Bellegarde J. ↓, Edozie T. ↑,
90+3', Trossard L. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Calafiori R. (Own goal),
90+9', Gabriel Jesus 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0.

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Havertz K. (Muscle Injury) Merino M. (Leg Injury) Odegaard M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 62.36%

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 71.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLL
- Arsenal FC
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Arsenal - Wigan Athletic	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.02.26	Brentford - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
31.01.26	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
25.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:1
17.08.24	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
20.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:2
02.12.23	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
28.05.23	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	5:0
12.11.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	0:2

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