Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Haradski Stadium (Barysaw)

Referee: Koronets P. (Blr)


	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk		Dinamo Brest

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.80	1.51
	6.74	3.95	1.57
	6.65	3.55	1.51
	5.45	4.44	1.51
	5.60	3.90	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.94 ↑ (5.25)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
15.6%

Draw
23.6%

Dinamo Brest
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

22.2%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.6%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Dinamo Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Brest than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Brest will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (C) 46. Vasilyev V. 41. Lutik D. 31. Zaleskiy A. 71. Matveev M. 77. Sotnikov N. 18. Volskiy D. 11. Tsallagov D. 79. Badoev K. 69. Ermolin R. 33. Gorbachik V.	35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 11. Levitskiy D. 5. Kovel M. 18. Stepanov N. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 99. Zenkov I. 44. Butarevich A. 36. Guilherme Guedes 19. Grechikho D. 88. Kovalevich D. 24. Kortsov E. (C)
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 2. Bozhko E. 8. Kaplenko N. 13. Oreshkevich I. 23. Polyakov D. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 26. Tkachenko V. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 9. Vasin I.	7. Bakic D. 42. Burak N. 6. Khralenkov E. 25. Lozhkin V. 23. Lyakh V. 21. Nechaev A. (G) 4. Popovic Z. 2. Rylach A.
Coaches
Voronkov I.	Sednev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Kovel M. 🟨,
15', Lutik D. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Yuzepchuk R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Khralenkov E. ↑,
63', Ermolin R. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
63', Tsallagov D. ↓, Oreshkevich I. ↑,
64', Kovalevich D. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
67', Stepanov N. 🟨,
77', Matveev M. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
77', Volskiy D. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
81', Kortsov E. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
88', Vasilyev V. ↓, Polyakov D. ↑,
89', Levitskiy D. ↓, Lyakh V. ↑,
89', Grechikho D. ↓, Burak N. ↑,
90+1', Butarevich A. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 0.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dinamo Brest shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Dinamo Brest for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:18 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Dynamo Brest: 1.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dynamo Brest	24	13	4	7	39:23	16	43
12	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	24	5	8	11	24:42	-18	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.09.26	ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:4 ✺
22.08.26	Belshina - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTTLL
- Dinamo Brest
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.26	Dinamo Brest - Dnyapro Mogilev	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Dinamo Brest - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Dinamo Brest - ML Vitebsk	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Baranovichi - Dinamo Brest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.05.26	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:0
02.08.25	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1
16.03.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Brest	1:1
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.09.24	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:1
Belarusian Cup
28.07.24	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	4:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.05.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Brest	0:2

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Brest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide