Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Disney+, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	Disney+
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	Disney+
Sweden	Discovery+, Disney+, TV12
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	Disney+
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Arsenal LFC		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.75
	1.41	4.7	6.4
	1.51	4.34	5.38
	1.51	4.49	5.41	Watch
	1.41	4.33	6.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	4.47 ↓ (4.49)	5.84 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal LFC
63.3%

Draw
20.8%

Real Madrid
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

20.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Arsenal LFC (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Real Madrid (2.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal LFC will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal LFC will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal LFC (votes: 8 - 80%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. van Domselaar D. (G) 2. Fox E. 3. Wubben-Moy C. 7. Catley S. (C) 11. McCabe K. 32. Cooney-Cross K. 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 8. Caldentey M. 18. Kelly C. 23. Russo A. 15. Smith O.	1. Misa (C) 19. Navarro E. 23. Lakrar M. 14. Mendez M. 12. Yasmim 16. Angeldal F. 8. Dabritz S. 10. Weir C. 20. Feller N. 18. Caicedo L. 7. del Castillo A.
Substitutes
25. Blackstenius S. 28. Borbe A. (G) 5. Codina L. 19. Foord C. 44. Harwood S. 24. Hinds T. 53. Liddiard A. (G) 9. Mead B. 22. Nighswonger J. 21. Pelova V.	30. Alonso A. (G) 22. Andersson B. 17. Bennison H. 29. Cristobal S. 28. Dorado I. 4. Galvez Luna R. 15. Garcia S. 21. Holmgaard S. 24. Keukelaar L. 26. Lopez L. (G) 11. Redondo A. 43. Santiago I.
Coaches
Slegers R.	Quesada P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Weir C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Russo A. ⚽, Kelly C. (A),
56', Kelly C. 🟨,
59', Navarro E. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
63', Kelly C. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
63', Smith O. ↓, Foord C. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Russo A. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
68', del Castillo A. ↓, Keukelaar L. ↑,
68', Dabritz S. ↓, Dorado I. ↑,
68', Feller N. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
83', Yasmim ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
88', McCabe K. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
88', Russo A. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
90+3', Cooney-Cross K. ↓, Codina L. ↑,

Preview

Arsenal LFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arsenal LFC has had a series of away games.

In this match, Arsenal LFC is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal LFC
English WSL
16.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal LFC	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC	3:2 ✺
English WSL
08.11.25	Arsenal LFC - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Leicester City - Arsenal LFC	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Benfica - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWW
- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
15.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	Real Madrid - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
08.11.25	Real Madrid - Alhama	5:0 ✺
01.11.25	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Real Madrid - Levante	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
26.03.25	Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid	3:0
18.03.25	Real Madrid - Arsenal LFC	2:0

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