The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 51.6%
Draw 28.8%
Deportivo Maipú 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
29.5%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arsenal Sarandí will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Purita E. (C) 2. Roselli N. 6. Cocca M. 3. Serrano V. 5. Colletta T. 8. Lucero M. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Batista A. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I.
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Bonfigli M. 5. Villarreal M. 10. Eggel M. (C) 11. Paredes L. 7. Silva T. 9. Bonacci P.
Substitutes
18. Bordagaray F. 15. Cabrera I. 12. Herrera F. (G) 19. Klusener G. 14. Mihovilcevich L. 17. Rius C. 20. Sayago D. 13. Vera M. 16. Vila J.
20. Barrera V. 19. Campagnaro M. 15. Cruz A. 12. Galardi N. (G) 14. Ozuna E. 13. Paulini S. 16. Saccone F. 18. Sandoval I. 17. Vallejo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Lucero M. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. ⚽,
45+3', Villarreal M. 🟥,
45+5', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silva T. ↓, Campagnaro M. ↑,
55', Colletta T. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Batista A. ⚽, Purita E. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Faggioli L. ⚽,
70', Serrano V. 🟨,
70', Eggel M. 🟥,
75', Gonzalez T. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
75', Vila J. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
76', Bonacci P. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
76', de la Reta J. ↓, Saccone F. ↑,
86', Bonfigli M. ↓, Ozuna E. ↑,
90+6', Faggioli L. ↓, Paulini S. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Maipú - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.28%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Pourtau J. (G) 
Barrera V. 
Saccone F. 
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