Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	3.3
	2.5	2.75	2.95
	2.55	2.75	3.1
	2.54	2.8	3.33
	2.53	2.74	3.28
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.5	2.82	3.08
	2.5	2.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.17 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
37.1%

Draw
33.6%

Gimnasia Jujuy
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

34.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

34%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zozaya J. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Bernardi B. 6. Alvarez A. 3. Cabrera I. 7. Trombini M. 5. Domingo N. 8. Lucero M. 11. Serrano V. 9. Sabatini I. 10. Ortiz T.	1. Sosa A. (G) 5. Barro J. 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 7. Molina F. 8. Juarez J. 10. Palavecino A. 9. Albertengo M. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
15. Ayala A. 17. Brestt F. 19. Cabral D. 14. Frascone N. 16. Krilanovich J. 12. Masuero F. (G) 20. Maziero A. 18. Pavia K. 13. Roselli N.	12. Bigo J. (G) 17. Cordoba J. 14. Lopez D. 16. Maidana F. 19. Montes R. 18. Puntano G. 15. Rizzi F. 20. Severich M. 13. Zafarana I.
Coaches
Kohan T.	Modolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Serrano V. ↓, Brestt F. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Molina F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Trombini M. ↓, Maziero A. ↑,
66', Barro J. ↓, Maidana F. ↑,
66', Endrizzi E. ↓, Rizzi F. ↑,
73', Domingo N. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
73', Bernardi B. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
81', Molina F. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
82', Lucero M. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
82', Cabrera I. 🟨,
86', Albertengo M. ↓, Montes R. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 9).

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gimnasia Jujuy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Sarandí will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Güemes - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.06.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLT
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
02.06.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.02.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
25.08.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1

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