Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.63
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.9	3.05	2.65
	2.94	3.07	2.72
	2.91	3.02	2.61	Watch
	2.85	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)	3.04 ↑ (2.87)	2.64 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
32.9%

Draw
31.2%

Unión Santa Fe
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.1%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29.3%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 27 and 28).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (29.28%), project points - 24, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Unión Santa Fe has the most likely position - 28 (20.24%), project points - 26, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0.

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Santa Fe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Gariglio I. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
13.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	2:3 ✺
07.04.23	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
03.04.23	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Tigre	0:0 ✺
11.04.23	Argentinos Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	5:1 ✺
08.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:3 ✺
31.03.23	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.10.22	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
25.11.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.11.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	2:3
01.11.20	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
15.03.20	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	4:1
09.02.18	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0

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