Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 15

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Arsenal Tula		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.44	4.46
	1.83	3.44	4.46
	1.8	3.38	4.4	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.38 ↑ (3.14)	4.41 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
51.3%

Draw
27.6%

Kuban Krasnodar
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Arsenal Tula - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 70. Geloyan I. 13. Kaynov M. 24. Korotkov A. 6. Levin V. 88. Makarov A. 5. Nizhegorodov K. 20. Okoronquo J. 8. Popov A. 77. Tkachev S. (C)	1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 10. Abdokov N. 28. Bairyev A. (C) 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 56. Fattakhov L. 36. Gruznov I. 70. Levin G. 17. Moseychuk I. 73. Sharipov A. 37. Vedeneev M. 3. Zhilov I.
Substitutes
92. Barkov D. 31. Bolshakov K. 2. Bykovskiy I. 1. Cherchesov S. (G) 71. Denisov A. 73. Khabibov A. 7. Khalnazarov R. 36. Levashov M. (G) 4. Nduka I. D. 11. Pomerko A. 76. Sukhanov A. 18. Yakovlev M.	22. Bakalyuk N. 92. Chuperka V. 20. Kenfack O. 21. Kertanov K. 55. Lauk M. 19. Osipov E. 9. Reichmen B. 96. Smirnov A. 30. Takazov S. 77. Temnikov I. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G)
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Kaleshin E.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kuban could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWTW
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Amkar Perm - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.04.23	Arsenal Tula - Kuban Krasnodar	1:2
19.09.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Arsenal Tula	2:1
Russian Premier League
30.05.15	Kuban Krasnodar - Arsenal Tula	5:1
30.08.14	Arsenal Tula - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1

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