Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	4.36	3.55	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.25)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
21.9%

Draw
26.9%

Arsenal Tula
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.2%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

29.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rusanov 95. Batsuev A. 57. Homaniuk 11. Karev V. 18. Knyshev N. 20. Kovalev K. (C) 5. Martynov I. 21. Melekestsev T. 17. Savinykh 4. Sukharev D. Y. 9. Zakirov A. M.	84. Gerasimov D. (G) 92. Barkov D. 2. Bykovskiy I. 71. Denisov A. 73. Khabibov A. 7. Khalnazarov R. 4. Nduka I. D. 5. Nizhegorodov K. 83. Panteleev V. 76. Sukhanov A. 18. Yakovlev M.
Substitutes
27. Azarenkov M. 32. Matveenkov V. (G) . Michurenkov D. 26. Nikolaev D. 19. Predeus I. . Slivin A. . Vorotnikov	1. Cherchesov S. (G) 50. Faizullin D. 29. Fanye Toure M. 61. Golosov I. 36. Levashov M. (G) . Pavlov 11. Pomerko A.

Preview

Saturn is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saturn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Saturn have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.09.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Dynamo Vladivostok	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Ryazan - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:4 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Khimik Avgust Vurnari	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
07.09.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Krasnoye Znamya	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Kvant Obninsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Arsenal Tula - Khimki	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLWT

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