Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)


	Kuban Krasnodar		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.29	2.25
	3.13	3.3	2.19	Watch
	3	3.2	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.68)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban Krasnodar
29.8%

Draw
28.4%

Rodina Moscow
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 10. Abdokov N. 28. Bairyev A. (C) 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 56. Fattakhov L. 36. Gruznov I. 70. Levin G. 17. Moseychuk I. 73. Sharipov A. 37. Vedeneev M. 3. Zhilov I.	31. Shakerov R. (G) 6. Fishchenko R. (C) 72. Gordyushenko A. 9. Kalmykov A. 24. Kleshchenko A. 55. Krizan M. 70. Samko V. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I. 33. Wesley Nata 21. Yudintsev G.
Substitutes
22. Bakalyuk N. 92. Chuperka V. 20. Kenfack O. 21. Kertanov K. 55. Lauk M. 19. Osipov E. 9. Reichmen B. 96. Smirnov A. 30. Takazov S. 77. Temnikov I. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G)	78. Bakaev S. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 34. Dmitriev O. 93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 77. Nasyrov I. 37. Pliev Z. 7. Shiltsov K. 10. Turishchev M. 5. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Evseev V.	Parfenov D.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Kuban has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kuban won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuban won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
01.10.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Amkar Perm - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
02.10.23	Rodina Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	1:4 ✺
18.09.23	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.05.23	Rodina Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	2:2
29.10.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	0:1

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